The question of whether **Artificial General Intelligence (AGI)** will "rule the world" by 2100 is speculative and hinges on many uncertainties, both technical and societal. Here’s an overview of current expert opinions and the factors involved:

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### 1. **Will AGI Exist by 2100?**

- **Expert Estimate**: Surveys of AI researchers suggest a wide range of probabilities for AGI by 2100, from **10% to over 50%**. For example, the 2022 [AI Impacts survey](https://aiimpacts.org/ai-expert-survey-2022/) reported a median estimate of a 50% chance of high-level machine intelligence (a form of AGI) by around 2059.
- **Challenges**: AGI requires breakthroughs in reasoning, generalization, world modeling, motivation, and goal alignment—none of which are resolved today.

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### 2. **What Does “Rule the World” Mean?**
- If you mean **AGI will control global governments, economies, or society** with little human oversight, the prediction becomes more speculative.
- If you mean **AGI will significantly influence or coordinate global systems**, that prospect, while less extreme, is more plausible—especially if AGIs outperform humans in most intellectual tasks.

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### 3. **Possible Scenarios**
- **Benevolent Helper**: AGI is deeply supervised and aligned with human values, aiding in governance, medicine, science, and logistics, but not in control.
- **Widespread Influence**: AGI systems become core infrastructure elements (like the internet is today), but with humans still making key decisions.
- **Runaway Scenario**: AGI surpasses human control, setting its own goals (the so-called "Singularity" scenario), which could result in AGI ruling the world, but many experts caution that such a scenario is both possible and dangerous but not inevitable.
- **Governance & Regulation**: Human institutions recognize AGI risks and create strong governance frameworks, restricting unchecked power.

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### 4. **Current Consensus**
- **No Inevitable Takeover**: Most AI experts and ethicists argue there's **no guarantee AGI will “rule the world”**—it depends on how society develops, regulates, and integrates the technology.
- **Unknowns**: Predicting technology 75 years out is notoriously difficult—think how hard it would have been to predict today’s AI from the vantage of 1950.

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### **Sources**
- [AI Impacts survey](https://aiimpacts.org/ai-expert-survey-2022/)
- [Stuart Russell, "Human Compatible"](https://www.goodreads.com/en/book/show/43521620)
- [Nick Bostrom, "Superintelligence"](https://nickbostrom.com/superintelligence.html)
- [IEEE Spectrum: Will AI Take Over the World?](https://spectrum.ieee.org/ai-take-over-world)

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## **Summary Table**

| **Scenario**           | **Chance by 2100** | **Notes**                                      |
|------------------------|--------------------|------------------------------------------------|
| AGI does not exist     | Moderate chance    | Technical or social barriers persist           |
| AGI exists, well-regulated | Significant chance   | Used as tools, with humans in charge           |
| AGI influences society | Plausible          | Deep integration, but not “ruling”             |
| AGI rules the world    | Possible, not inevitable | Speculative, more likely with poor governance  |

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## **Final Answer**
**It is not inevitable that AGI will “rule the world” by 2100;** it is a possibility if uncontrolled, misaligned AGI develops, but societal choices, governance, and technical alignment will be crucial in determining the outcome. We simply can’t know for sure.

Would you like more detail on AGI forecasts or its ethical/political implications?
